Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.019452 0.020985 0.022581 0.024368 0.026315 0.028371 0.030712
2025-11-02 0.016924 0.019125 0.021536 0.024380 0.027650 0.031300 0.035693
2025-11-09 0.015001 0.017537 0.020423 0.023961 0.028197 0.033124 0.039316
2025-11-16 0.013557 0.016286 0.019487 0.023537 0.028548 0.034579 0.042433
2025-11-23 0.012575 0.015464 0.018941 0.023462 0.029220 0.036359 0.045954
2025-11-30 0.011709 0.014696 0.018375 0.023274 0.029676 0.037827 0.049097
2025-12-07 0.010996 0.014058 0.017908 0.023148 0.030158 0.039301 0.052281
2025-12-14 0.010348 0.013453 0.017432 0.022956 0.030506 0.040580 0.055231
2025-12-21 0.009869 0.013034 0.017163 0.023005 0.031154 0.042263 0.058801
2025-12-28 0.009374 0.012561 0.016788 0.022872 0.031523 0.043555 0.061862
2026-01-04 0.008962 0.012176 0.016504 0.022839 0.032011 0.045016 0.065225
2026-01-11 0.008627 0.011876 0.016316 0.022922 0.032654 0.046713 0.069014
2026-01-18 0.008255 0.011519 0.016052 0.022908 0.033196 0.048351 0.072918
2026-01-25 0.007903 0.011176 0.015790 0.022885 0.033724 0.050004 0.076968
2026-02-01 0.007470 0.010693 0.015299 0.022488 0.033655 0.050729 0.079575
2026-02-08 0.007073 0.010241 0.014829 0.022092 0.033555 0.051383 0.082084
2026-02-15 0.006793 0.009951 0.014583 0.022022 0.033952 0.052831 0.085982
2026-02-22 0.006507 0.009635 0.014282 0.021847 0.034164 0.053980 0.089429
2026-03-01 0.006255 0.009360 0.014028 0.021730 0.034455 0.055263 0.093175
2026-03-08 0.006005 0.009076 0.013747 0.021551 0.034630 0.056350 0.096631
2026-03-15 0.005823 0.008890 0.013610 0.021596 0.035175 0.058086 0.101349
2026-03-22 0.005614 0.008653 0.013379 0.021473 0.035423 0.059314 0.105205
2026-03-29 0.005438 0.008459 0.013209 0.021442 0.035824 0.060823 0.109671